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Old 09-14-2011, 06:38 AM
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Default Fezzik 2011/12 Football Record

Note: despite the thread title, these reports don't include the Canadian Football pick(s). LOL. I will estimate the EV of his NFL and CFB RSW total picks at a later date.

Summary through Monday, Sept. 12:

W/L: Half-wgt: 0-0, One-wgt: 23-27-4, Two-wgt: 12-9-0,
Three-wgt: 6-3-0, Four-wgt: 0-1-0
Overall weighted W/L: 65-58-4, 52.8%, +0.25u

Overall sides/totals unweighted W/L: 41-40-4, 50.6%
Overall teasers unweighted W/L: 1-1

NFL Regular season record: 48-35, 57.8%, (28-25-2 unweighted), +7.70u
CFB record: 12-11, 52.2%, (9-8-1 unweighted), -0.10u
NFLX record: 4-7-1 unweighted, -7.35u
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Old 09-14-2011, 04:07 PM
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Where's the Canadian football??? Where's the prooooooopppppps???
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Old 09-15-2011, 11:05 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GroovinMahoovinPartDeux View Post
Where's the Canadian football??? Where's the prooooooopppppps???
One CFL pick, tailing a poster Londo ...lol

Only 4 props bet so far, all 1 wgt, one FGs UN 3.5, 3 NO SCORE in first 7.5 min. 3-1 so far.

I'll break out the record later in the season.
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Old 09-16-2011, 12:47 AM
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Fezzwick's whining there reminded me of Peppermint Patty in the Charlie Brown Thanksgiving special. Chuuuuckkk???? Where's the stuuuuffffffing???? Where's the maaaaashed potatoes?????
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Old 10-07-2011, 10:17 AM
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Default Update thru Oct. 3

Summary through Monday, Oct. 3:

W/L: Half-wgt: 0-0, One-wgt: 34-39-4, Two-wgt: 18-22-0,
Three-wgt: 6-4-0, Four-wgt: 0-4-0
Overall weighted W/L: 88-111-6, 44.2%, -35.60u

Overall straight bets unweighted W/L: 58-69-5, 45.7%
Overall teasers unweighted W/L: 3-3

NFL Regular season record: 62-65, 48.8%, (39-41-3 unweighted), -14.80u
CFB record: 21-31, 40.4%, (15-21-1 unweighted), -13.45u
NFLX record: 4-7-1 unweighted, -7.35u
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Old 10-11-2011, 03:42 AM
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Just a heads up for the next time you compile the record, be sure to grade his Vikings team total this week as a 1 weight. He didn't post a weight with it, and only posted "Sorry, that was a 2 weight" after it had already won. Good work if you can get it.
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Old 10-11-2011, 04:04 AM
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-gulp-

Look for your comped sub to end soon, obv.
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  #8  
Old 10-26-2011, 08:25 PM
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Default Update

Summary through Monday, Oct. 24:

W/L: Half-wgt: 0-0, One-wgt: 42-45-4, Two-wgt: 26-26-2,
Three-wgt: 7-8-0, Four-wgt: 1-4-0
Overall weighted W/L: 119-137-8, 46.5%, -34.46u

Overall straight bets unweighted W/L: 76-83-6, 47.8%
Overall teasers unweighted W/L: 4-3

NFL Regular season record: 89-84, 51.4%, (55-52-4 unweighted), -8.76u
CFB record: 24-38, 38.7%, (17-24-1 unweighted), -18.35u
NFLX record: 4-7-1 unweighted, -7.35u
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  #9  
Old 12-01-2011, 07:05 AM
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Default Update

Comped subscription still continues

Summary through Monday, Nov. 28:

W/L: One-wgt: 52-54-5, Two-wgt: 31-38-4,
Three-wgt: 13-12-0, Four-wgt: 1-6-0
Overall weighted W/L: 157-190-13, 45.2%, -56.11u

Overall straight bets unweighted W/L: 97-110-9, 46.9%
Overall teasers unweighted W/L: 4-4

NFL Regular season record: 118-128, 48.0%, (73-76-7 unweighted), -31.71u
CFB record: 27-38, 41.5%, (18-24-1 unweighted), -15.35u
CFL record: 6-7, 46.2%, (2-3-0 unweighted), -1.70u
NFLX record: 4-7-1 unweighted, -7.35u
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  #10  
Old 12-01-2011, 07:17 AM
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Default Regular season win total update

College RSW bets have been decided.

Likely wins: Dolphins UN, Chiefs UN, Lions OV
Likely losses: Raiders UN, Browns OV
Wins: Ore St UN, Iowa UN, Ala OV
Losses: 49ers UN, Chargers OV, LSU UN

Summary EV: NFL: -7.75u, CFB: +1.80u


Fezzik NFL season bets
Date Bet Team____________ O/U Value ML Wgt W/L W-Prob T-Prob Bet EV
9/7 Giants season wins.. UN 9 -110 1 6-5 59.0% 12.0% 1.10 0.27
8/28 Chargers vs Falcons RSW 1 -140 0 4-7 4.0% 10.0% 0.00 0.00
8/27 49ers season wins.. UN 7.5 -120 1 9-2 0.0% 0.0% 1.20 -1.20
8/27 Chiefs season wins.. UN 7.5 -110 1 4-7 76.0% 0.0% 1.10 0.50
8/27 Dolphins season wins.. UN 7.5 -120 1 3-8 99.0% 0.0% 1.20 0.98
8/27 Lions season wins…….. OV 7.5 -150 1 7-4 99.1% 0.0% 1.50 0.98
8/24 Chargers season wins.. OV 10 -150 2 4-7 0.0% 0.0% 3.00 -3.00
8/22 Browns season wins.. OV 6.5 -145 3 4-7 17.0% 0.0% 4.35 -3.10
8/21 Raiders season wins.. UN 7 -160 2 7-4 0.0% 1.0% 3.20 -3.17
TOTAL -7.75

Fezzik CFB season bets
9/1 LSU season wins,,,,,,,,, UN 9.5 -160 2 12-0 0.0% 0.0% 3.20 -3.20
8/25 ORE ST season wins… UN 6.5 -130 2 3-9 100.0% 0.0% 2.60 2.00
7/30 ALABAMA season wins OV 10 -125 2 11-1 100.0% 0.0% 2.50 2.00
7/28 IOWA season wins…….. UN 8 -135 1 7-5 100.0% 0.0% 1.35 1.00
TOTAL 1.80

Last edited by ComptrBob; 12-01-2011 at 11:02 PM. Reason: Corrected EV calculations
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